SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Peterhead |
24.56% ( 1.8) | 23.28% ( 1.03) | 52.16% ( -2.83) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.27% ( -2.75) | 43.73% ( 2.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( -2.75) | 66.12% ( 2.76) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% ( 0.02) | 31.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.03% ( 0.02) | 67.97% ( -0.02) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( -1.95) | 16.79% ( 1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.26% ( -3.6) | 46.74% ( 3.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.35) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.71)2-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.72% Total : 24.56% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.61)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.51)0-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.47)0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.41)2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.4)0-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.35)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.23)1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.22)Other @ 3.16% Total : 52.16% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
