SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ross County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | Greenock Morton |
40.97% ( 0.15) | 24.25% ( -0.05) | 34.78% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.61% ( 0.24) | 42.39% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.21% ( 0.24) | 64.79% ( -0.24) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( 0.17) | 20.83% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.49% ( 0.27) | 53.5% ( -0.27) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( 0.06) | 23.98% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.78% ( 0.08) | 58.22% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.78% |
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