Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
45.3% ( -0) | 24.87% ( -0) | 29.84% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.03% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.05% ( 0.02) | 46.95% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.8% ( 0.02) | 69.2% ( -0.03) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% ( 0.01) | 20.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.57% ( 0.02) | 53.43% ( -0.02) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.73% ( 0.02) | 29.27% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.77% ( 0.02) | 65.23% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 45.3% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.84% |
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