SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
37.46% ( -0.12) | 26.6% ( 0.01) | 35.93% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.24% ( -0.06) | 52.75% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.61% ( -0.05) | 74.38% ( 0.05) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% ( -0.1) | 27.3% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% ( -0.13) | 62.75% ( 0.12) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( 0.03) | 28.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.1% ( 0.04) | 63.9% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.46% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.94% |
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