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Scottish League One | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
New Broomfield
AA

Airdrieonians
2 - 1
Alloa

Gallagher (12'), Frizzell (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sammon (62')
King (32'), Taggart (37'), Durnan (53')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawAlloa Athletic
40.01%26.08%33.9%
Both teams to score 53.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18%50.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29%72.71%
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99%25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.33%59.66%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7%64.29%
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 40.01%
    Alloa Athletic 33.9%
    Draw 26.08%
AirdrieoniansDrawAlloa Athletic
1-0 @ 9.88%
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 3.97%
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 40.01%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.13%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.95%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.9%

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