SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 49.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kelty Hearts in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
49.16% ( -3.57) | 25.73% ( 1.1) | 25.1% ( 2.47) |
| Both teams to score 49.73% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.49% ( -2.15) | 53.5% ( 2.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% ( -1.84) | 75.02% ( 1.85) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.21% ( -2.35) | 21.78% ( 2.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.02% ( -3.71) | 54.98% ( 3.71) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% ( 1.07) | 36.41% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.8% ( 1.06) | 73.2% ( -1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.56)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.51)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.66)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.34)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.4)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.27% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.65)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.86) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.22)Other @ 1.85% Total : 25.1% |
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