SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 26.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
47% ( 1.2) | 26.64% ( -0.38) | 26.37% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 48.19% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% ( 0.93) | 56.06% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( 0.75) | 77.14% ( -0.74) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( 0.98) | 23.86% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.96% ( 1.39) | 58.05% ( -1.38) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% ( -0.17) | 36.72% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.5% ( -0.17) | 73.51% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 9% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.59% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.82% Total : 26.37% |
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