SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
46.77% ( -0.04) | 25.94% ( 0.01) | 27.29% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.18% ( -0.02) | 52.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( -0.01) | 74.44% ( 0.02) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( -0.02) | 22.57% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.84% ( -0.04) | 56.16% ( 0.04) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.79% ( 0.02) | 34.21% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.09% ( 0.02) | 70.9% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.77% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.29% |
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