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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
42.92% ( -2.42) | 24% ( -0.39) | 33.08% ( 2.82) |
| Both teams to score 60.58% ( 2.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.33% ( 2.98) | 41.67% ( -2.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.93% ( 2.95) | 64.07% ( -2.94) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( 0.17) | 19.65% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.38% ( 0.28) | 51.62% ( -0.28) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( 3.22) | 24.61% ( -3.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.89% ( 4.31) | 59.11% ( -4.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -1.06)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.82)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.43)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.14% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.38)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.68)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.5)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.42)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.3)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.27)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.08% |
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