SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Airdrieonians |
36.94% ( 0.68) | 25.94% ( -0.16) | 37.11% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 54.43% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.08% ( 0.7) | 49.92% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.09% ( 0.62) | 71.91% ( -0.63) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( 0.72) | 26.27% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.61% ( 0.95) | 61.38% ( -0.96) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( 0.04) | 26.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% ( 0.05) | 61.25% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.94% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.11% |
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