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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
37.57% ( 0.47) | 25.45% ( 0.12) | 36.98% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.29% ( -0.55) | 47.71% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( -0.51) | 69.91% ( 0.51) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.1% ( 0) | 24.89% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.49% ( 0.01) | 59.51% ( -0) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( -0.57) | 25.22% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.04% ( -0.8) | 59.96% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 37.57% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.98% |
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