SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Clyde | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Alloa Athletic | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Edinburgh City | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Alloa Athletic | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Edinburgh City | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | Montrose | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
45.82% ( 1.14) | 26.95% ( 0.33) | 27.23% ( -1.46) |
| Both teams to score 47.93% ( -1.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( -1.97) | 56.7% ( 1.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.35% ( -1.6) | 77.65% ( 1.61) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( -0.32) | 24.7% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.77% ( -0.44) | 59.24% ( 0.44) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( -2.22) | 36.35% ( 2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.86% ( -2.32) | 73.14% ( 2.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.49)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.82% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.66)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.29)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.2)Other @ 1.88% Total : 27.23% |
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