Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
1.14) 
-1.46) 
