Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.