SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Montrose | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Alloa Athletic | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Alloa Athletic | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
32.56% ( 0.55) | 25.77% ( 0.03) | 41.67% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( 0.04) | 49.78% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% ( 0.04) | 71.78% ( -0.04) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( 0.38) | 28.86% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( 0.47) | 64.72% ( -0.47) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( -0.27) | 23.69% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.19% ( -0.39) | 57.8% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.67% |
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