Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
