SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Kilmarnock | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Livingston | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Falkirk | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Montrose | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
51.18% ( 0.45) | 23.59% ( -0.1) | 25.23% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 56.61% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% ( 0.15) | 44.51% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.12% ( 0.14) | 66.88% ( -0.14) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( 0.22) | 17.43% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.11% ( 0.39) | 47.88% ( -0.39) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( -0.21) | 31.44% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% ( -0.24) | 67.82% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.8% Total : 51.18% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 25.23% |
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