SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Montrose | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Alloa Athletic | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Alloa Athletic | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 10 | Kelty Hearts | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
57.5% ( 0.77) | 22.71% ( -0.33) | 19.79% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 52.31% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.22% ( 0.8) | 46.77% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% ( 0.75) | 69.03% ( -0.75) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( 0.54) | 16% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.67% ( 0.99) | 45.32% ( -1) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.27% ( -0) | 37.72% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.5% ( -0) | 74.5% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.26% Total : 57.49% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.57% Total : 19.79% |
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