SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Montrose | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dumbarton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | East Fife | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Dumbarton |
48.85% ( 4.19) | 23.08% ( -0.99) | 28.07% ( -3.21) |
| Both teams to score 60.99% ( 1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.12% ( 2.8) | 39.88% ( -2.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.76% ( 2.84) | 62.24% ( -2.85) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.43% ( 2.75) | 16.57% ( -2.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.65% ( 4.72) | 46.35% ( -4.73) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( -0.7) | 26.89% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% ( -0.93) | 62.21% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.65)3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.57)3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.48)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.4)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.29)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.24)Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.63) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.6)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.56) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.93)0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.7)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.35)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.07% |
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