SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Queen of the South |
36.43% ( 0.1) | 26.12% ( -0.18) | 37.45% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( 0.79) | 50.68% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% ( 0.7) | 72.58% ( -0.69) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( 0.44) | 26.92% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( 0.57) | 62.25% ( -0.56) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% ( 0.42) | 26.33% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.53% ( 0.55) | 61.47% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.43% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.45% |
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