SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
30.99% ( 0.03) | 27.03% ( 0) | 41.98% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.64% ( -0.01) | 55.36% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.43% ( -0.01) | 76.57% ( 0) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.24% ( 0.02) | 32.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.69% ( 0.02) | 69.31% ( -0.03) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( -0.03) | 26.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.93% ( -0.03) | 61.07% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.99% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.97% |
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