SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Alloa Athletic | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | -10 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | Dunfermline Athletic | 5 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 5 | 3 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
31.15% ( -0.82) | 27.44% ( -0.27) | 41.41% ( 1.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.58% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.13% ( 0.78) | 56.87% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.21% ( 0.62) | 77.79% ( -0.63) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( -0.18) | 33.42% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.95% ( -0.19) | 70.05% ( 0.19) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( 0.97) | 27.04% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% ( 1.25) | 62.4% ( -1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.15% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.4% |
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