SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline Athletic | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Airdrieonians | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 6 | 4 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 50.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Falkirk had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Falkirk win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
50.52% ( 0.07) | 25.7% ( 0.24) | 23.78% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 48.55% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.59% ( -1.18) | 54.41% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% ( -0.99) | 75.78% ( 0.99) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( -0.45) | 21.57% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.34% ( -0.7) | 54.65% ( 0.7) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% ( -0.95) | 38.1% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.14% ( -0.92) | 74.86% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.52% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.59% Total : 23.78% |
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