Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.