SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | -8 | 4 |
| 10 | Peterhead | 6 | -14 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | -8 | 4 |
| 10 | Peterhead | 6 | -14 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
25.87% ( 0.89) | 24.63% ( 0.35) | 49.5% ( -1.24) |
| Both teams to score 53.82% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.51% ( -0.77) | 48.48% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.39% ( -0.71) | 70.61% ( 0.71) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% ( 0.32) | 33.04% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.36% ( 0.35) | 69.63% ( -0.35) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( -0.8) | 19.62% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.43% ( -1.31) | 51.57% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.44% Total : 25.87% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.95% Total : 49.49% |
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