SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 10 | Kelty Hearts | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline Athletic | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Clyde | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 3 | 6 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
34.82% ( -0.51) | 27.28% ( -0.06) | 37.91% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.47% ( 0.2) | 55.53% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.3% ( 0.16) | 76.71% ( -0.16) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( -0.22) | 30.26% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.58% ( -0.27) | 66.43% ( 0.27) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( 0.43) | 28.37% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.89% ( 0.54) | 64.11% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 34.82% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.84% Total : 37.9% |
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