Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round

Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Station Park

Forfar
1 - 2
Kelty Hearts

Moore (54')
Brindley (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Munro (10' og.), Hunter (86')
Higginbotham (75'), Agyeman (90+3'), Jamieson (90+4')

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Forfar Athletic and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-0 Dunfermline
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Alloa Athletic	4	-3	3
9	Peterhead	4	-7	1
10	Kelty Hearts	4	-7	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Forfar Athletic	Draw	Kelty Hearts
38.82% ( 1.99)	24.99% ( 0.08)	36.19% ( -2.08)

Both teams to score 57.76% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.36% (

-0.43)

45.63% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.04% (

-0.41)

67.96% (

0.4)

Forfar Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.7% (

0.86)

23.29% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.76% (

1.23)

57.23% (

-1.24)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

-1.31)

24.7% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76% (

-1.87)

59.24% (

1.86)

Score Analysis

Forfar Athletic 38.82%

Kelty Hearts 36.19%

Draw 24.98%

Forfar Athletic	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.82%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.98%	1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.87% Total : 36.19%