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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
39.75% ( 1.74) | 25.1% ( -0.12) | 35.16% ( -1.61) |
| Both teams to score 57.23% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.73% ( 0.41) | 46.27% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.44% ( 0.38) | 68.55% ( -0.38) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( 1.08) | 23.1% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.04% ( 1.56) | 56.95% ( -1.56) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( -0.72) | 25.58% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.55% ( -0.99) | 60.45% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.75% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.16% |
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