SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
32.23% ( -0.03) | 25.41% ( -0.01) | 42.37% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.36% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.67% ( 0.04) | 48.33% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.52% ( 0.04) | 70.48% ( -0.04) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( -0) | 28.36% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% | 64.1% ( -0) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( 0.03) | 22.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% ( 0.05) | 56.38% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.37% |
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