SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
48.41% ( 0.27) | 23.74% ( -0.12) | 27.84% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.87% ( 0.45) | 43.12% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.47% ( 0.44) | 65.52% ( -0.44) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( 0.28) | 17.97% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.19% ( 0.48) | 48.81% ( -0.47) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( 0.13) | 28.72% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.45% ( 0.16) | 64.55% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.65% Total : 48.42% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.5% Total : 27.84% |
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