SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dumbarton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
56.49% ( 4.73) | 23.3% ( -1.44) | 20.21% ( -3.29) |
| Both teams to score 51.1% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% ( 2.25) | 48.71% ( -2.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% ( 2.01) | 70.81% ( -2.01) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( 2.63) | 17.04% ( -2.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.8% ( 4.46) | 47.19% ( -4.46) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.6% ( -1.96) | 38.4% ( 1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.84% ( -1.93) | 75.15% ( 1.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.76)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.91)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.6)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.59)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.45)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.27)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.22)Other @ 1.96% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.68) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.63)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.97) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.64)0-2 @ 3% ( -0.66)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.27)Other @ 1.5% Total : 20.21% |
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