SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
46.04% ( 1.8) | 24.57% ( 0.16) | 29.38% ( -1.95) |
| Both teams to score 56.73% ( -1.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% ( -1.67) | 45.92% ( 1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% ( -1.6) | 68.23% ( 1.61) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.97% ( 0.1) | 20.04% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.75% ( 0.15) | 52.25% ( -0.15) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( -2.13) | 29.06% ( 2.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.03% ( -2.72) | 64.98% ( 2.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.56)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.9% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.39% |
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