SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Forfar Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
43.49% ( 0.29) | 24.36% ( -0.13) | 32.14% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.91% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.31% ( 0.56) | 43.69% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.92% ( 0.54) | 66.08% ( -0.54) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.77% ( 0.36) | 20.23% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.44% ( 0.57) | 52.56% ( -0.57) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( 0.18) | 26.14% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.78% ( 0.24) | 61.22% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.91% Total : 43.49% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.14% |
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