SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Annan Athletic |
27.6% ( 1.22) | 24.75% ( 0.06) | 47.66% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( 0.59) | 47.76% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( 0.54) | 69.95% ( -0.54) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( 1.26) | 31.31% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% ( 1.44) | 67.67% ( -1.44) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( -0.3) | 20.1% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.66% ( -0.48) | 52.34% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.6% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 47.65% |
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