SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
48.84% ( -0.47) | 22.57% ( -0.13) | 28.58% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 63.22% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.88% ( 1.05) | 37.11% ( -1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.68% ( 1.13) | 59.31% ( -1.13) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( 0.22) | 15.54% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.53% ( 0.42) | 44.47% ( -0.42) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( 0.93) | 25.15% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.14% ( 1.27) | 59.86% ( -1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.91% Total : 48.84% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.58% |
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