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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
41.8% ( -0.14) | 24.65% ( -0.05) | 33.55% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% ( 0.25) | 44.54% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% ( 0.24) | 66.91% ( -0.25) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( 0.04) | 21.36% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.67% ( 0.06) | 54.33% ( -0.07) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( 0.23) | 25.7% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.38% ( 0.32) | 60.62% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.55% |
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