SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Peterhead |
39.98% ( 1.01) | 25.88% ( -0.23) | 34.14% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.1% ( 0.87) | 49.9% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.11% ( 0.77) | 71.89% ( -0.77) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( 0.94) | 24.6% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% ( 1.29) | 59.11% ( -1.28) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% ( -0.05) | 27.92% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% ( -0.07) | 63.54% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Peterhead |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.98% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.14% |
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