SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 62.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 17.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Elgin City win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Elgin City |
62.47% ( -0.01) | 20.35% ( 0) | 17.18% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.6% ( 0.01) | 40.4% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.22% ( 0.01) | 62.78% ( -0.01) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.62% ( 0) | 12.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.76% ( 0) | 38.24% ( 0) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.13% ( 0.02) | 36.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.34% ( 0.02) | 73.66% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-0 @ 9.96% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.92% 4-0 @ 3.62% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.8% 5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 62.47% | 1-1 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.35% | 1-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 17.18% |
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