Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterhead in this match.
