SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Spartans |
13.06% ( -0.94) | 17.84% ( 0.52) | 69.1% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( -4.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.66% ( -4.98) | 37.33% ( 4.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.45% ( -5.57) | 59.55% ( 5.56) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.62% ( -4.63) | 40.38% ( 4.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23% ( -4.47) | 77% ( 4.46) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.22% ( -1.22) | 9.78% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.48% ( -2.89) | 32.52% ( 2.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Spartans |
| 2-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.22)Other @ 1.62% Total : 13.06% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.5)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.88)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.35)Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.84% | 0-2 @ 10.67% ( 1.42) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.17)0-1 @ 9.18% ( 1.65)0-3 @ 8.27% ( 0.7)1-3 @ 7.5% ( -0.29)0-4 @ 4.81% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 4.36% ( -0.43)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.6)0-5 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 2.03% ( -0.32)2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.48)2-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.29)Other @ 4.07% Total : 69.09% |
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