SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Peterhead |
16.62% ( -0.12) | 20.74% ( -0.1) | 62.64% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.79% ( 0.23) | 43.2% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( 0.23) | 65.6% ( -0.22) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.76% ( -0.01) | 39.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.06% ( -0.01) | 75.94% ( 0.01) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.8% ( 0.14) | 13.2% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.07% ( 0.28) | 39.92% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Peterhead |
| 1-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.62% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.74% | 0-2 @ 10.61% 0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.17% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.71% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.63% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 62.63% |
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