SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Stranraer in this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Stranraer |
19.73% ( 0.58) | 21.46% ( 0.4) | 58.81% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 56.36% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.66% ( -0.94) | 41.34% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.26% ( -0.96) | 63.74% ( 0.96) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.35% ( 0.06) | 34.64% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.63% ( 0.06) | 71.37% ( -0.06) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% ( -0.6) | 13.75% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.96% ( -1.2) | 41.03% ( 1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Stranraer |
| 2-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.73% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.57% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.2% Total : 58.81% |
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