SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Spartans win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Spartans |
39.95% ( 1.23) | 25.42% ( -0.38) | 34.62% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 55.99% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.17% ( 1.55) | 47.82% ( -1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( 1.42) | 70% ( -1.42) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( 1.35) | 23.69% ( -1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.19% ( 1.9) | 57.8% ( -1.9) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( 0.23) | 26.62% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( 0.31) | 61.86% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.95% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.42)2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.62% |
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