SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
33.99% ( -0.4) | 26.9% ( 0.11) | 39.12% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.87% ( -0.49) | 54.13% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.45% ( -0.41) | 75.55% ( 0.41) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( -0.5) | 30.09% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.77% ( -0.6) | 66.23% ( 0.6) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( -0.07) | 27.02% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.63% ( -0.09) | 62.37% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.99% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 39.11% |
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