Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
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