SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
43.94% ( 0.7) | 25.62% ( 0.09) | 30.44% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% ( -0.69) | 49.91% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( -0.62) | 71.9% ( 0.62) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( 0.03) | 22.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.72% ( 0.05) | 56.28% ( -0.05) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% ( -0.88) | 30.35% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% ( -1.07) | 66.54% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.93% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.44% |
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