Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
