SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
42.8% ( 0.57) | 25.77% ( -0.14) | 31.43% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.84% ( 0.43) | 50.16% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.88% ( 0.39) | 72.12% ( -0.38) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( 0.47) | 23.3% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.76% ( 0.68) | 57.24% ( -0.68) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( -0.07) | 29.79% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% ( -0.09) | 65.87% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.43% |
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