Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.
0.02) 
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