SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 53.04%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
53.04% ( 0.26) | 23.2% ( 0.03) | 23.76% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.82% ( -0.44) | 44.17% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% ( -0.44) | 66.55% ( 0.43) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( -0.07) | 16.63% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.53% ( -0.12) | 46.46% ( 0.12) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( -0.49) | 32.48% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( -0.56) | 69.01% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.04% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 23.76% |
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