SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Elgin City win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Elgin City |
65.59% ( 0.17) | 18.82% ( -0.13) | 15.59% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.18% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.75% ( 0.53) | 36.25% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.63% ( 0.58) | 58.37% ( -0.59) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.66% ( 0.19) | 10.34% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.2% ( 0.44) | 33.8% ( -0.44) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% ( 0.28) | 36.22% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.99% ( 0.29) | 73.01% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.96% Total : 65.59% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.82% | 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 15.59% |
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