SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
35.59% ( 0.22) | 26.66% ( 0.09) | 37.75% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.98% ( -0.37) | 53.01% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.39% ( -0.32) | 74.6% ( 0.32) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( -0.05) | 28.54% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% ( -0.06) | 64.32% ( 0.06) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% ( -0.36) | 27.26% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% ( -0.46) | 62.69% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.59% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.75% |
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